“All droughts end in flood” has been a saying in these parts since time began, and it may hold true for some areas of Texas this Thursday. However, we won’t experience any drought-busting rain today. Isolated storms are possible between 4 PM and 9 PM across Texoma, North Texas, and Central Texas. By far, the majority of people will not see rain today.
A few pop-up storms are expected, which could produce hail the size of pocket change and localized damaging wind gusts (microbursts). Activity will decrease shortly after sunset. Going into Wednesday morning, scattered showers and storms are predicted across Texoma, North Texas, and Northeast Texas. Severe storms are not anticipated, but lightning and small hail are definitely possible, with frequent lightning being a threat.
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Showers and storms will become more common Wednesday evening across Big Bend, Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande Plains, and South Texas. Small hail, heavy rain, and frequent lightning are expected with the stronger storms. Slow-moving thunderstorms will bring heavy rain to the Hill Country, South Texas, Rio Grande Plains, and Coastal Bend.
As we get closer to Thursday, it’s becoming clearer that we may see heavier rainfall totals of three to eight inches in certain areas within those regions. It’s uncertain exactly where the heaviest rain axis will set, but even with dry soil conditions, we could see a localized flooding threat on Thursday and Thursday night in parts of those areas. A few storms may also produce strong winds and hail on Thursday.
From Thursday into Friday morning, expect wet conditions across the eastern two-thirds of Texas. Rain totals outside of the regions with a flooding threat will generally range from half an inch to two inches. Friday afternoon through Sunday morning should be mostly dry across Texas, with increasing southerly winds.
A storm system will move across the Plains on Sunday, with storms possible Sunday afternoon into early Monday morning in Northeast Texas and East Texas. Some storms may be severe, but the overall severe weather threat remains questionable in Texas. Warm to downright hot weather for late March will continue as we approach the beginning of April.
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