Bryan Norcross: Robust tropical disturbance heading toward the Caribbean is likely to develop

Bryan Norcross: Warnings, watches likely for some Caribbean islands today

Tropical Disturbance #1 is continuing to organize as it crosses the tropical Atlantic, moving toward the Caribbean. A cloud of Sahara dust is just to the north, but the plume is thinning, and there's a good chance the disturbance will be able to fight it off. The National Hurricane Center has the odds in the high category that the system will develop into at least a tropical depression next week.