The weather in Texas is currently calm. Earlier today, isolated thunderstorms produced hail in Northwest Texas and the Big Country, but the cap—an atmospheric lid that prevents storm development—quashed those storms, resulting in a windy yet thunderstorm-free evening. The cap is still holding strong, but this may change after 4 AM on Wednesday with the arrival of a weak cool front.
Isolated severe storms are possible across Central and Southern Oklahoma after 2-3 AM. These storms will move quickly northeast toward Oklahoma City. South of the Red River, isolated to scattered storms may develop in Texoma and North Texas after 4 AM. These storms will track eastward, with the strongest ones potentially producing large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a brief tornado. The storms could affect the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex around 5-6 AM. After that, the activity is expected to move east into Northeast Texas after 6 AM on Wednesday. Most forecasts indicate that the storms will generally weaken after sunrise, but they are still expected to persist through the mid to late morning in the Ark-La-Tex region, with a diminished risk of producing large hail and damaging winds.