Several rounds of severe storms will bring additional heavy rain to several regions of Texas over the next couple of days. Scattered storms have already moved across the state this morning, and new storms are likely to develop after 3 PM Central Time in the Permian Basin, West Texas, and eastern New Mexico. Some of these storms could be severe, posing a risk of very large hail, localized damaging wind gusts, and perhaps even a tornado.
There may be a brief lull in activity this evening, but even more widespread storms are expected to form late tonight in the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and southward into the Permian Basin. This activity, some of which could be severe, will spread east into the Big Country, Concho Valley, and Edwards Plateau overnight into the pre-dawn hours of Tuesday. Don’t let the late hour fool you; we may experience intense storms producing very large hail—potentially up to the size of baseballs—damaging wind gusts, and the possibility of a few tornadoes.
The heavy rain may lead to flash flooding. Not all storms will be intense overnight, but activity will continue to spread eastward, bringing high chances of rain to the eastern two-thirds of Texas on Tuesday. The more intense storms will still have the potential to produce large hail, localized damaging wind gusts, and possibly a few tornadoes. Again, heavy rain will result in a risk of flooding.
Additionally, another round of storms may develop in the eastern half of Texas on Tuesday afternoon, with the risk extending toward the Texas Gulf Coast Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The good news for those already soaked from previous rain is that we can expect a period of less active weather for the second half of the workweek and the upcoming weekend.