The final day of May will go out like so many days this month in the Texas weather department, which is active with a chance of storms. It has been an intense five weeks, even by our busy, severe weather standards.
A complex of thunderstorms is moving southeast from South-Central Texas into the Brazos Valley and East Texas this morning. Some storms produce damaging straight-line winds over 60 MPH, pocket-change-size hail, and frequent lightning. Anything resembling a thunderhead is producing heavy rain. Additional flooding of roads, streets, and creeks will be the most common hazard through the morning rush hour. A second cluster of storms may try to move across Central Texas, Hill Country, Brazos Valley, into South-Central Texas and the Coastal Plains this morning into the afternoon hours. Depending on how much energy the atmosphere has left to work with, we may see localized damaging winds, hail, and a brief tornado.
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Dryline Storms Later Today & Tonight
Scattered storms will develop late this afternoon in eastern New Mexico. Those storms may work into the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Permian Basin this evening with strong winds, hail, and locally heavy rainfall. Weather model data, which has been as unpredictable as a wild horse over the past week, isn’t showing much enthusiasm about a big cluster of storms moving southeast across Texas tonight. Perhaps the atmosphere is finally calling ‘uncle’ and letting us have a night without rambunctious behavior, but we can’t be too sure.
Texas Weather Weekend Forecast
Isolated to scattered thunderstorm chances could continue on Saturday and Sunday across the northern third of Texas and east of the dryline near the New Mexico state line. Weather model data remains inconsistent, to put it kindly, on who may have a higher chance of storms than others. However, it does seem like we’re progressing toward a situation where we won’t have nightly clusters of storms moving across the eastern seventy-five percent of Texas. Could we still have those clusters move across parts of the northern third of Texas into next week? Yup – but we sure don’t have any particular day in mind compared to another.
With our faucet slowing being turned off, at least for the southern half of Texas, temperatures will return to summer levels next week. Prepare for high temperatures in the 90s and 100s, with uncomfortable humidity levels across the eastern half of Texas.
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