Major Hurricane Milton remains a formidable storm north of the Yucatan Peninsula. After achieving top-tier intensity yesterday, we’ve seen an eyewall replacement cycle occur. That process brings maximum sustained winds down but expands the wind field. More water will be pushed toward Florida, which will be hazardous for the Tampa Bay region on Wednesday.
Dangerous Storm Surge for Florida – regardless of wind speeds
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Fluctuations in the intensity of Milton are likely today, but it will likely remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Florida late Wednesday. Landfall is expected around midnight Thursday with damaging hurricane-force winds, a destructive storm surge, and tornadoes. Eight to twenty inches of rain will fall in Florida as the hurricane moves northeast across the state Thursday morning before moving into the Atlantic by Thursday afternoon. A storm surge may impact the Atlantic-facing portions of Northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina as Milton moves east into the open Atlantic. No sensitive weather impacts are expected in Texas aside from dangerous rip currents.
Quiet and Seasonably Hot Weather Continues for Texas
Quiet weather will continue across Texas through the week and into the weekend. Afternoon high temperatures in the 80s and 90s are forecast, though a rogue 100 degrees can’t be ruled out to rub it in. Our weather pattern will remain stagnant for another six to seven days. The second half of next week may finally change our weather.
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