SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 108

WW 108 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 031900Z – 040300Z
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 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Arkansas Southeast Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms will continue to
increase this afternoon to the north of a front, with large hail as
the most common hazard with the more vigorous storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of De
Queen AR to 35 miles southeast of Batesville AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 107... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23035. ...Guyer 

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SPC Tornado Watch 107

WW 107 TORNADO AR KY MS TN 031750Z – 040300Z
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 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 107
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Arkansas South-central and Southeast Kentucky Northern Mississippi Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to develop
this afternoon near a boundary that extends generally
southwest-to-northeast across the region. A moist environment and
strong low-level shear will support tornado potential aside from
damaging winds and hail. The severe/tornado risk could persist well
through the evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles southwest of Memphis TN to
15 miles southeast of Jackson KY. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035. ...Guyer 

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Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross exclusive analysis: Looking ahead to hurricane season 2025

Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross exclusive analysis: Looking ahead to hurricane season 2025

The first round of hurricane-season predictions is out. The buzz has been muted because they are all relatively tame compared to recent years. The key issue to understand is called forcing. If the whole tropical Atlantic from Africa to Florida is extra warm, the number of storms and especially the number of hurricanes is "forced" higher by the extra energy in the water.