Is Milton’s storm surge forecast for Tampa Bay worse than Helene’s?
A catastrophic storm surge is expected to inundate Florida's Gulf Coast from Hurricane Milton, raising water levels by up to 12 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds.
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A catastrophic storm surge is expected to inundate Florida's Gulf Coast from Hurricane Milton, raising water levels by up to 12 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds.
Hurricane Milton is exploding in intensity. By taking an extremely unusual track across the Gulf slightly farther south than forecast, Milton has a long runway in an atmospheric environment that is forecast to be extremely conducive to strengthening.
Hurricane Milton is undergoing explosive intensification this morning in the Bay of Campeche. The minimum central pressure has fallen incredibly fast, increasing maximum sustained winds. We will have a major hurricane shortly (actually, now). A special advisory will be issued shortly by the Natinoal Hurricane Center with an updated intensity forecast. Milton will become a […]
Plus the latest on Hurricane Milton, and hopes for a more noticeable front around October 15
No watches are valid as of Mon Oct 7 03:02:02 UTC 2024.
WW 689 SEVERE TSTM NY OH PA WV 062055Z – 070300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 689 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western New York Eastern Ohio Western Pennsylvania Northern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 455 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to develop and intensify through the afternoon and into the evening across the Watch area. A few of the stronger thunderstorms will likely acquire supercell characteristics and pose an initial risk for large hail (1 to 2 inches in diameter) and localized severe gusts. Upscale growth into a mix of cells and linear segments this evening will facilitate the severe risk potentially becoming primarily a damaging wind threat (60 to 70 mph gusts) before this activity weakens late this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Buffalo NY to 35 miles south of Wheeling WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26040. ...Smith
Florida is no stranger to the dangers of a tropical system, and like a tired but well-oiled machine, the gears are in motion to prepare residents ahead of Milton's arrival.
Millions of people across the Florida Peninsula are on alert as Hurricane Milton is rapidly intensifying in the Gulf of Mexico while it continues on a path toward the Sunshine State, where itâs expected to bring a potentially life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds and torrential rain to the state this week.
Tropical Storm Milton is rapidly organizing in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting it to reach hurricane strength by Monday, and the consensus of the computer forecast models concurs. The atmospheric pattern over the southern Gulf for the next couple of days appears very conducive for Milton to intensify.